Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.522792 1.730945 1.959015 2.227754 2.536150 2.879443 3.291191
2025-11-02 1.171686 1.434098 1.744932 2.141423 2.635393 3.232678 4.012897
2025-11-09 0.920239 1.196526 1.545424 2.020706 2.654963 3.477316 4.632646
2025-11-16 0.775919 1.062673 1.445341 1.997298 2.779598 3.858385 5.475575
2025-11-23 0.661654 0.947806 1.348401 1.955811 2.863529 4.185488 6.285387
2025-11-30 0.609539 0.909971 1.349548 2.047703 3.143934 4.824456 7.644405
2025-12-07 0.556638 0.862224 1.327388 2.097703 3.362676 5.394658 8.980332
2025-12-14 0.498975 0.798761 1.271530 2.084406 3.474421 5.804070 10.108495
2025-12-21 0.438798 0.723372 1.186589 2.010401 3.471583 6.016674 10.920777
2025-12-28 0.415669 0.705775 1.193298 2.090478 3.742029 6.734043 12.753165
2026-01-04 0.395052 0.689661 1.199863 2.169662 4.019099 7.497835 14.791865
2026-01-11 0.370721 0.664015 1.186282 2.209348 4.225809 8.154657 16.720234
2026-01-18 0.346668 0.637103 1.168938 2.242824 4.431277 8.850495 18.876699
2026-01-25 0.313171 0.589041 1.107125 2.182417 4.441327 9.154392 20.245765
2026-02-01 0.277820 0.533672 1.025330 2.071730 4.331990 9.191789 21.021682
2026-02-08 0.256806 0.504124 0.990784 2.053835 4.417420 9.661143 22.885514
2026-02-15 0.235805 0.472402 0.948444 2.014079 4.449026 10.013976 24.529686
2026-02-22 0.229889 0.470901 0.967794 2.110453 4.801249 11.156536 28.367053
2026-03-01 0.220308 0.460671 0.967578 2.162882 5.058085 12.110545 31.896460
2026-03-08 0.206038 0.438924 0.940226 2.149533 5.154739 12.684479 34.505849
2026-03-15 0.188203 0.407646 0.888745 2.073249 5.085490 12.827270 35.932026
2026-03-22 0.183648 0.405571 0.902636 2.156098 5.431326 14.105400 40.909288
2026-03-29 0.179164 0.403188 0.915516 2.237987 5.786443 15.465075 46.417459